How Did These Goals Go In? - We Explain How Goal Probability Works

How likely or unlikely is a goal? Expected Goals explained!
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Bundesliga fans ask themselves this question every matchday: How likely or unlikely is a goal? And with goal probability it can be answered.
To what degree is a goal the expected outcome in any given scoring scenario? Which chances really have to be put away – and which finishes amount to minor statistical miracles? Expected Goals (xGoals), powered by AWS (Amazon Web Services), has the precisely calibrated answers, taking account of multiple factors such as pressure from opponents, distance from goal and keeper position. We take a look at how probability has been matching up with reality so far this season. Which goal of this season left you speechless? Let us know in the comments.

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