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How to Lie with Baseball Stats | Baseball Bits

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I have a confession to make. I've been lying to you all with baseball stats. Now it's time to tell you all my secrets. Baseball stats like AVG and ERA are easy to lie with, because they aren't park-adjusted stats or era-adjusted stats like OPS+ or ERA+. Baseball defensive metrics are can also be used to obfuscate the truth. Fielding Percentage is a bad stat, but even Defensive Runs Saved and Statcast Outs Above Average can be manipulated for the narrative.

And that's honestly what we're doing here: playing narrativeball. We're taking a look at MLB players like Ken Griffey Jr., Jacob deGrom, Dustin Pedroia, Craig Biggio, Yordan Alvarez, Jeff Conine, and even player from many years ago named Roy Cullenbine. Indeed, what happened to 1947 Roy Cullenbine ties in with a point I'm making.

I hope you'll all enjoy this episode of Baseball Bits, a Foolish Baseball production that has absolutely nothing to do with Tesla. Hopefully you'll learn how to use baseball analytics and baseball sabermetrics to spot baseball lies in the future.

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Roy Cullenbine SABR bio: https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/roy-cullenbine/
Zach Star on lying with statistics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVG2OQp6jEQ

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Category
Baseball
Tags
how to lie with baseball stats, how to lie with baseball statistics, lie with stats
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